Nottingham Insight

Demography chapter: the people of Nottingham (June 2017)

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Topic title Demography chapter: the people of Nottingham (June 2017)
Topic author(s) Niki Kirk
Current version June 2017
Insight Document ID 91518

Executive summary

Introduction

This chapter considers Nottingham’s population and how demographic factors impact on the health and wellbeing of its residents and influence the needs and demand for health and social care services. It also considers the impact of estimated population changes in the future. Where these factors relate to specific health and wellbeing issues, they are addressed within the relevant chapters in the body of the JSNA. It is structured under the headings:

  • Current Situation;
  • Influence on Health and Wellbeing
  • Projections Over 3 to 5 and 5 to 10 Years.

Summary

The latest estimate of the City’s resident population is 318,900, having risen by 4,600 since 2014.

  • The population is projected to rise to 332,700 in 2024 and to 361,300 in 2039. 
  • International migration (recently from Eastern Europe) and natural change (the excess of births over deaths) are the main reasons for the population growth recently.
  • 29% of the population are aged 18 to 29 – full-time university students comprise about 1 in 8 of the population.
  • The number of births has risen slightly in the last year and remains higher than the start of the 2000’s.
  • Compared to some other Local Authority areas, Nottingham is unlikely to show much ageing or population growth in the short term to 2024.
  • The 2011 Census shows 35% of the population as being from BME groups; an increase from 19% in 2001.
  • Despite its young age-structure, Nottingham has a higher than average rate of people with a limiting long-term illness or disability.
  • White ethnic groups have higher rates of long term health problems or disability overall, although this varies with age, with some BME groups having higher rates in the older age-groups.
  • The City gains young adults due to migration, both international and within Britain, whilst losing all other age groups - this includes losing families with children as they move to the surrounding districts.
  • There is a high turnover of population – 21% of people changed address in the year before the 2011 Census.

Key contacts

Niki Kirk

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